Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Labour's Mini-Revival

I like the smell of a good opinion poll in the morning.

The latest ICM/Telegraph Poll makes interesting reading today.

Yes, the Tories still have a massive lead in the poll - not surprising for the major opposition party, mid-term against a party in it's third term in Government - but there seems to be a mini-recovery for Labour, which I am sure will cheer up a few in the red camp.

The topline figures, with changes from the last ICM poll a fortnight ago, are CON 43%(+1), LAB 32%(+3), LDEM 18%(-3).

However I am particularly intrigued by the Scottish polling. In the Scottish YouGov poll, it showed Westminster voting intentions in Scotland were as follows:

CON 17%, LAB 35%, LDEM 12%, SNP 31% - so a 4 point lead for Labour over the SNP.

However in the Scottish Parliament voting intentions stand at:

CON 12%, LAB 32%, LDEM 13%, SNP 40% in the constituency vote and CON 13%, LAB 30%, LDEM 12%, SNP 33% in the list vote - that's an 8 point lead and 3 point lead for the SNP respectively in the Holyrood elections.

Can anyone think why that might be? Not me. ;-)
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